Variety Awards Circuit section is the home for all awards recents and connectd satisfied thrawout the year, featuring the chaseing: the official predictions for the upcoming Oscars, Emmys, Grammys and Tony Awards ceremonies, curated by Variety greater awards editor Clayton Davis. The prediction pages echo the current standings in the race and do not echo personal selectences for any individual contfinisher. As other establishal (and adviseal) polls advise, competitions are fluid and subject to alter based on buzz and events. Predictions are refreshd every Thursday.
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2025 Oscars Predictions:
Best Supporting Actor
Weekly Commentary (Updated Sept. 23, 2024): This year’s aiding actor contfinishers experience a bit leanner than common, but that could easily alter before the Academy completes its five nominees. With so many potential contfinishers still postponeing to produce their label, it’s safe to say that surpascfinishs could be lurking around the corner.
We’re still postponeing on some official categruesome validateations and first sees for films enjoy Kieran Culkin’s turn in “A Real Pain,” Gabriel LaBelle in “Saturday Night,” and the ever-vibrant Denzel Washington, who’s suiting up for his villainous role in “Gladiator II.” John Magaro and Peter Sarsgaard are also in the mix for their labor in “September 5,” depfinishing on where the actors determine to campaign.
In fractureing recents, Variety can now validate that both Mike Faist and Josh O’Connor, the heartthrobs from Luca Guadagnino’s tennis-throuple cherish story “Challengers,” have determined to produce as aiding actors. This could include some unforeseeed heat to the competition. With their palpable chemistry on screen, their double entry might be the promote the aiding actor race necessitates this year.
Also in the triumphgs is Edward Norton’s carry outance in James Manggreater’s “A Complete Ununderstandn.” There is no word yet on whether Norton’s portrayal will have the impact we foresee, but it’s definitely worth grasping an eye on with three previous noms (“Primal Fear,” “American History X” and “Birdman”). Meanwhile, fans of the “Wicked” musical alteration will be willing to see if Jonathan Bailey and Jeff Ggreaterblum can go in the conversation.
In the nastytime, Clarence Maclin persists to pop up in the awards talkion for his sinestablishar carry outance in Greg Kwedar’s prison drama “Sing Sing.” At the same time, we can’t dissee Stanley Tucci, a real veteran, who’s deinhabitring what could be one of his best carry outances yet in Edward Berger’s thriller “Conclave,” which premiered at Telluride. Tucci’s a recognizable face at the Oscars, and the Academy will foreseeed not leave out the chance to acunderstandledge his labor.
Then there’s Guy Pearce, whose buzzworthy role in Brady Corbet’s epic “The Brutaenumerate” could remind us why he’s a Hollywood mainstay. With a runtime that spans four hours, it’ll be fascinating to see if the Academy’s Actors Branch has the patience (and the time) to appreciate the scale of his carry outance filledy.
Veteran actor John Turturro, who has been disseeed for an Oscar nod despite standout carry outances in films enjoy “Quiz Show” (1994), could finassociate discover himself in the mix for “The Room Next Door.” Turturro carry outs Damian, a enthusiastic climate alter aid and establisher cherishr to both women in the film (Julianne Moore and Tilda Striumphton), deinhabitring a climactic scene proximate the finish that could safe his spot in the conversation.
Finassociate, don’t count out Brian Tyree Henry. Known for conveying depth and emotion to every role he apshows on, Henry could land another nomination, this time for his portrayal of Jason Crutchfield, coach to Olympic boxing champion Claressa Shields, in the inspirational film “The Fire Inside.” With past Oscar-nominated boxing coaches enjoy Paul Giamatti in “Cinderella Man” and Bencouragess Meredith in “Rocky,” Henry could discover himself joining the ranks of memorable mentors who getd the Academy’s invitation.
As always, the aiding actor categruesome remains unforeseeed. With a mix of recognizable faces and exciting recent contfinishers, this year is shaping up to be fascinating. Check out the refreshd rankings below.
The 97th Oscars will be held on Sunday, March 2. The filled rankings are below. All movie enumerateings, titles, and distributors are not final and are subject to alter.
** deremarks the carry outer could be campaigned in direct or aiding, and/or the film could uncover in 2025.
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Image Credit: Focus Features And the Predicted Nominees Are
Rank Perestablisher & Film 1 Denzel Washington — “Gladiator II” (Paramount Pictures) ** 2 Stanley Tucci — “Conclave” (Focus Features) 3 Kieran Culkin — “A Real Pain” (Searchairy Pictures) ** 4 Guy Pearce — “The Brutaenumerate” (A24) 5 John Turturro — “The Room Next Door” (Sony Pictures Classics) Oscars: Best Actor in a Supporting Role (Variety Awards Circuit Predictions) -
Image Credit: Courtesy Everett Collection Next in Line
Rank Perestablisher & Film 6 Gabriel LaBelle — “Saturday Night” (Sony Pictures) ** 7 Clarence Maclin — “Sing Sing” (A24) 8 Peter Sarsgaard — “September 5” (Paramount Pictures) 9 Edward Norton — “A Complete Ununderstandn” (Searchairy Pictures) 10 Ray Fisher — “The Piano Lesson” (Netflix) Oscars: Best Actor in a Supporting Role (Variety Awards Circuit Predictions) -
Image Credit: TIFF Other Contfinishers
Rank Perestablisher & Film 11 Yura Borisov — “Anora” (Neon) 12 Selton Mello — “I’m Still Here” (Sony Pictures Classics) 13 Samuel L. Jackson — “The Piano Lesson” (Netflix) 14 Lamorne Morris — “Saturday Night” (Sony Pictures) 15 Jeremy Strong — “The Apprentice” (Briarcliff Entertainment) 16 John Magaro — “September 5” (Paramount Pictures) 17 Brian Tyree Henry — “The Fire Inside” (Amazon MGM) 18 Josh O’Connor — “Challengers” (Amazon MGM) 19 Jason Schwartzman — “Queer” (A24) 20 Mark Eydelshteyn — “Anora” (Neon) Oscars: Best Actor in a Supporting Role (Variety Awards Circuit Predictions) -
Image Credit: Yannis Drakoulidis Also In Contention
Rank Perestablisher & Film 21 Pedro Pascal — “Gladiator II” (Paramount Pictures) 22 Ben Chaplin — “September 5” (Paramount Pictures) 23 John Lithgow — “Conclave” (Focus Features) 24 Tom Hardy — “The Bikeriders” (Focus Features) 25 Tommy Dewey — “Saturday Night” (Sony Pictures) 26 Jay O. Sanders — “His Three Daughters” (Netflix) 27 Drew Starkey — “Queer” (A24) 28 Mike Faist — “Challengers” (Amazon MGM) 29 Carlos Diehz — “Conclave” (Focus Features) 30 Bill Skarsgård — “Nosferatu” (Focus Features) Oscars: Best Actor in a Supporting Role (Variety Awards Circuit Predictions) -
Eligible Perestablishers (Best Supporting Actor)
Image Credit: ©Warner Bros/Courtesy Everett Collection ** This enumerate is infinish and not yet completed. Not all films have distribution or liberate dates. All are subject to alter.
- Yura Borisov — “Anora” (Neon)
- Mark Eydelshteyn — “Anora” (Neon)
- Jeremy Strong — “The Apprentice” (Briarcliff Entertainment)
- Antonio Banderas — “Babygirl” (A24)
- Harris Dickinson — “Babygirl” (A24)
- Jean Reno — “Babygirl” (A24)
- Tom Hardy — “The Bikeriders” (Focus Features) **
- Barry Keoghan — “Bird” (Mubi) **
- Franz Rogowski — “Bird” (Mubi) **
- Harris Dickinson — “Blitz” (Apple Original Films)
- Elliott Heffernan — “Blitz” (Apple Original Films)
- Stephen Graham — “Blitz” (Apple Original Films)
- Alessandro Nivola — “The Brutaenumerate” (A24)
- Guy Pearce — “The Brutaenumerate” (A24)
- Mike Faist — “Challengers” (Amazon MGM)
- Josh O’Connor — “Challengers” (Amazon MGM)
- Wagner Moura — “Civil War” (A24)
- Jesse Plemons — “Civil War” (A24)
- Boyd Holbrook — “A Complete Ununderstandn” (Searchairy Pictures)
- Edward Norton — “A Complete Ununderstandn” (Searchairy Pictures)
- John Lithgow — “Conclave” (Focus Features)
- Stanley Tucci — “Conclave” (Focus Features)
- Sean Penn — “Dincludeio” (Sony Pictures Classics) **
- Hugh Jackman — “Deadpool & Wolverine” (Marvel Studios) **
- Wesley Snipes — “Deadpool & Wolverine” (Marvel Studios)
- Channing Tatum — “Deadpool & Wolverine” (Marvel Studios)
- Adam Peincfinishiarism — “A Different Man” (A24)
- Javier Bardem — “Dune: Part Two” (Warner Bros.)
- Josh Brolin — “Dune: Part Two” (Warner Bros.)
- Austin Butler — “Dune: Part Two” (Warner Bros.)
- Christopher Walken — “Dune: Part Two” (Warner Bros.)
- Édgar Ramírez — “Emilia Pérez” (Netflix)
- Michael Shannon — “The End” (Neon) **
- Shea Whigham — “Fancy Dance” (Apple Original Films)
- Brian Tyree Henry — “The Fire Inside” (Amazon MGM)
- Jude Law — “Firebrand” (Roadside Attractions) **
- Chris Hemsworth — “Furiosa: A Mad Max Saga” (Warner Bros.)
- Pedro Pascal — “Gladiator II” (Paramount Pictures)
- Joseph Quinn — “Gladiator II” (Paramount Pictures)
- Denzel Washington — “Gladiator II” (Paramount Pictures) **
- David Webber — “Hard Truths” (Bleecker Street)
- Paul Bettany — “Here” (Sony Pictures)
- Jovan Adepo — “His Three Daughters” (Netflix)
- Jay O. Sanders — “His Three Daughters” (Netflix)
- Michael Angarano — “Horizon: An American Saga – Chapter One” (Warner Bros.)
- Selton Mello — “I’m Still Here” (Sony Pictures Classics)
- Ryan Reyngreaters — “IF” (Paramount Pictures)
- Brfinishan Gleeson — “Joker: Folie à Deux” (Warner Bros.)
- Harry Lawtey — “Joker: Folie à Deux” (Warner Bros.)
- J.K. Simmons — “Juror No. 2” (Warner Bros.)
- Kiefer Sutherland — “Juror No. 2” (Warner Bros.)
- Joe Alwyn — “Kinds of Kindness” (Searchairy Pictures)
- Mamoudou Athie — “Kinds of Kindness” (Searchairy Pictures)
- Willem Dafoe — “Kinds of Kindness” (Searchairy Pictures)
- Andy Samberg — “Lee” (Roadside Attractions)
- Mark Hamill — “The Life of Chuck” (No U.S. Distribution)
- Pierfrancesco Favino — “Maria” (Netflix)
- Kodi Smit-McPhee — “Maria” (Netflix)
- Giancarlo Esposito — “Megalopolis” (Lionsgate)
- Shia LaBeouf — “Megalopolis” (Lionsgate)
- Jon Voight — “Megalopolis” (Lionsgate)
- Daveed Diggs — “Nickel Boys” (Amazon MGM/Orion)
- Scott McNairy — “Nightbitch” (Searchairy Pictures)
- Willem Dafoe — “Nosferatu” (Focus Features)
- Bill Skarsgård — “Nosferatu” (Focus Features)
- Aaron Taylor-Johnson — “Nosferatu” (Focus Features)
- Nicholas Hoult — “The Order” (Vertical Entertainment)
- Paapa Essiedu — “The Outrun” (Sony Pictures Classics)
- Gary Oldman — “Parthenope” (A24)
- Ray Fisher — “The Piano Lesson” (Netflix)
- Corey Hawkins — “The Piano Lesson” (Netflix)
- Samuel L. Jackson — “The Piano Lesson” (Netflix)
- Michael Potts — “The Piano Lesson” (Netflix)
- Jason Schwartzman — “Queer” (A24)
- Drew Starkey — “Queer” (A24)
- Kieran Culkin — “A Real Pain” (Searchairy Pictures) **
- John Turturro — “The Room Next Door” (Sony Pictures Classics)
- Nicholas Braun — “Saturday Night” (Sony Pictures)
- Tommy Dewey — “Saturday Night” (Sony Pictures)
- Willem Dafoe — “Saturday Night” (Sony Pictures)
- Taylor Gray — “Saturday Night” (Sony Pictures)
- Cooper Hoffman — “Saturday Night” (Sony Pictures)
- Gabriel LaBelle — “Saturday Night” (Sony Pictures) **
- Lamorne Morris — “Saturday Night” (Sony Pictures)
- Dylan O’Brien — “Saturday Night” (Sony Pictures)
- J.K. Simmons — “Saturday Night” (Sony Pictures)
- Cory Michael Smith — “Saturday Night” (Sony Pictures)
- Matt Wood — “Saturday Night” (Sony Pictures)
- Ben Chaplin — “September 5” (Paramount Pictures) **
- John Magaro — “September 5” (Paramount Pictures) **
- Peter Sarsgaard — “September 5” (Paramount Pictures) **
- Clarence Maclin — “Sing Sing” (A24)
- Paul Raci — “Sing Sing” (A24)
- Jim Carrey — “Sonic the Hedgehog 3” (Paramount Pictures)
- Dennis Quaid — “The Substance” (Mubi)
- Ricdifficult Roundtree — “Thelma” (Magnolia Pictures)
- Jonathan Bailey — “Wicked” (Universal Pictures)
- Jeff Ggreaterblum — “Wicked” (Universal Pictures)
- Pedro Pascal — “The Wild Robot” (DreamWorks Animation)
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More Inestablishation (Oscars: Best Supporting Actor)
Image Credit: Rich Polk for Variety 2024 categruesome triumphner: Robert Downey Jr. — “Oppenheimer” (Universal Pictures)
2024-2025 Oscars Calfinishar and Timeline – Full awards season calfinishar here
- Eligibility period: Jan. 1, 2024 – Dec. 31, 2024
- General entry, best picture, RAISE subleave oution deadline: Thursday, Nov. 14, 2024
- Governors Awards: Sunday, Nov. 17, 2024
- Preliminary voting commences Monday, Dec. 9, 2024, at 9 a.m. PT.
- Preliminary voting finishs Friday, Dec. 13, 2024, at 5 p.m. PT.
- Oscar Shortenumerates Announcement: Tuesday, Dec. 17, 2024
- Eligibility period finishs: Tuesday, Dec. 31, 2024
- Nominations voting commences Wednesday, Jan. 8, 2025, at 9 a.m. PT.
- Nominations voting finishs Sunday, Jan. 12, 2025, at 5 p.m. PT.
- Oscar Nominations Announcement: Friday, Jan. 17, 2025
- Oscar Nominees Luncheon: Monday, Feb. 10, 2025
- Final voting commences Tuesday, Feb. 11, 2025, at 9 a.m. PT
- Final voting finishs: Tuesday, Feb. 18, 2025, at 5 p.m. PT
- Scientific and Technical Awards: Tuesday, Feb. 18, 2025
- 97th Oscars: Sunday, March 2, 2025
Oscars Prediction Categories
2024 Oscars Predictions (Variety Awards Circuit) About the Academy Awards
The Academy Awards, better understandn as the Oscars, is Hollywood’s most prestigious creative award in the film industry. Since 1927, nominees and triumphners have been picked by members of the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS). Seventeen branches are recurrented wilean the proximately 10,000-person membership. The branches are actors, associates, casting honestors, cinematographers, costume summarizeers, honestors, recordary, executives, film editors, produceup and hairstyenumerates, labeleting and accessible relations, members-at-big, members-at-big (artists’ recurrentatives), music, producers, production summarize, unininestablishigentinutive films and feature animation, sound, visual effects and authorrs.
