Variety Awards Circuit section is the home for all awards news and roverhappinessed encountered thcimpoliteout the year, featuring the follotriumphg: the official foreseeions for the upcoming Oscars, Emmys, Grammys and Tony Awards ceremonies, curated by Variety greater awards editor Clayton Davis. The foreseeion pages mirror the current standings in the race and do not mirror personal selectences for any individual contender. As other establishal (and adviseal) polls advise, competitions are fluid and subject to alter based on buzz and events. Predictions are refreshd every Thursday.
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OSCARS | EMMYS | GRAMMYS | TONYS
2025 Oscars Predictions: All Categories
Courtesy of Columbia Pictures
Weekly Commentary (Updated Sept. 23, 2024): The buzz surrounding films showcased at the Vepleasant, Telluride, and Toronto film festivals has commenceed to elucidate which titles may administer this year’s awards season. Though it’s still timely, particular patterns and historical Oscar trends provide advantageous insights into how the race might unfgreater.
One of the big triumphners out of Vepleasant was Pedro Almodóvar’s “The Room Next Door,” which took home the prestigious Ggreateren Lion. This labels a convey inant increase for the film, as triumphning at Vepleasant is normally a stepping stone toward Oscar glory. Past Ggreateren Lion triumphners enjoy “Nomadland” and “Roma” went on to carry out exceptionpartner well at the Academy Awards, setting a firm pwithdrawnt for Almodóvar’s tardyst labor.
At TIFF, Mike Flanagan’s alteration of Stephen King’s “The Life of Chuck” aascendd as the recipient of the Audience Award despite not having yet shieldedd a U.S. distributor. The film’s famousity at TIFF could signal future success, as audience award triumphners enjoy “Green Book” and “12 Years a Slave” went on to triumph best picture at the Oscars. If “The Life of Chuck” discovers a distributor and acquires momentum, it could go in the race as a unininestablishigent horse contender.
Brady Corbet’s “The Brutacatalog” has also garnered convey inant attention, particularly after being acquired by A24. This historical Holocaust drama, starring Adrien Brody, Guy Pearce, and Felicity Jones, is hailed by some pundits as a potential Oscar juggernaut. However, at 215 minutes lengthy, the film’s prolonged runtime could dispute upgrasping expansivespread request. Films with lengthy runtimes normally need the unwavering help of critics’ groups to stay in the conversation. A excellent comparison is the Japanese film “Drive My Car,” which geted four Oscar nominations, including Best Picture, after triumphning over critics’ circles. If “The Brutacatalog” can accomplish analogous critical acclaim, its odds in the Oscar race could better convey inantly.
Another film generating buzz is Tim Fehlbaum’s “September 5,” a anxious thriller recently picked up by Paramount Pictures. With the right awards campaign, it has the potential to score noms in multiple categories, especipartner in acting and screenjoin. Paramount’s promisement to backing the film could be convey inant in positioning it for Oscar success, much enjoy the studio’s labor with previous contenders such as “Top Gun: Maverick” and “A Quiet Place.”
As we watch ahead, disjoinal highly foreseed films have yet to be scrutinizeed, leaving the Oscar race even more intriguing. Steve McQueen’s “Blitz,” a World War II drama, and James Manggreater’s Bob Dylan biopic “A Complete Ununderstandn” are foreseeed to create waves. Additionpartner, Ridley Scott’s “Gladiator II” is already dratriumphg attention, as is Jon M. Chu’s musical alteration of “Wicked.” Finpartner, “Here,” a visupartner driven drama from Sony Pictures, also could have the potential to fracture into technical and conceiveive categories.
Top 4 projected nomination directers (films): “Emilia Pérez” (12); “Gladiator II” (8); “Dune: Part Two,” “The Room Next Door” and “Saturday Night” (7); “The Brutacatalog” and “Conclave” (6)
Top 3 projected nomination directers (studios): Netflix (21); Paramount Pictures, Sony Pictures Classics and Warner Bros. (10); A24 (9)
The 97th Oscars will be held on Sunday, March 2. All movie catalogings, titles, distributors, and recognizeed artisans are not final and are subject to alter.
*** = PREDICTED WINNER
(All foreseeed nominees cataloged below are in alphabetical order)
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Best Picture
Image Credit: “The Brutacatalog” (Courtesy of Focus Features) “Anora” (Neon)
Sean Baker, Alex Coco, Samantha Quan
“Blitz” (Apple Original Films)
Steve McQueen, Arnon Milchan, Yariv Milchan, Eric Fellner, Tim Bevan, Michael Schaefer
“The Brutacatalog” (A24)
Nick Gordon, D.J. Gugenheim, Andrew Lauren, Trevor Matthews, Andrew Morrison, Brian Young
“A Complete Ununderstandn” (Searchairy Pictures)
Fred Berger, Alex Heineman, Bob Bookman, Peter Jaysen, Alan Gasmer, Jeff Rosen, Timothée Chafeeblet, James Manggreater
“Conclave” (Focus Features)
Alice Dawson, Robert Harris, Juliette Howell, Michael Jackman, Tessa Ross
“Dune: Part Two” (Warner Bros.)
Cale Boyter, Tanya Lapointe, Mary Parent, Denis Villeneuve
“Emilia Pérez” (Netflix) ***
Jacques Audiard, Pascal Caucheteux, Valérie Schermann, Anthony Vaincludello
“Gladiator II” (Paramount Pictures)
Lucy Fisher, David Franzoni, Michael Pruss, Ridley Scott, Douglas Wick
“The Room Next Door” (Sony Pictures Classics)
Agustín Almodóvar, Esther García
“Saturday Night” (Sony Pictures)
Jason Blumenfeld, Peter Rice, Jason Reitman, GIl Kenan -
Director
Image Credit: Shanna Besson Pedro Almodóvar
“The Room Next Door” (Sony Pictures Classics)
Jacques Audiard ***
“Emilia Pérez” (Netflix)
Sean Baker
“Anora” (Neon)
Brady Corbet
“The Brutacatalog” (A24)
Ridley Scott
“Gladiator II” (Paramount Pictures) -
Actor
Image Credit: A24 Adrien Brody
“The Brutacatalog” (A24)
Timothée Chafeeblet
“A Complete Ununderstandn” (Searchairy Pictures)
Daniel Craig
“Queer” (A24)
Colman Domingo
“Sing Sing” (A24)
Ralph Fiennes ***
“Conclave” (Focus Features) -
Actress
Image Credit: Pablo Larraín Angelina Jolie ***
“Maria” (Netflix)
Karla Sofía Gascón
“Emilia Pérez” (Netflix)
Mikey Madison
“Anora” (Neon)
Tilda Striumphton
“The Room Next Door” (Sony Pictures Classics)
Saoirse Ronan
“The Outrun” (Sony Pictures Classics) -
Supporting Actor
Image Credit: Cuba Scott Kieran Culkin
“A Real Pain” (Searchairy Pictures)
Guy Pearce
“The Brutacatalog” (A24)
Stanley Tucci
“Conclave” (Focus Features)
John Turturro
“The Room Next Door” (Sony Pictures Classics)
Denzel Washington ***
“Gladiator II” (Paramount Pictures) -
Supporting Actress
Image Credit: Netflix Danielle Deadwyler
“The Piano Lesson” (Netflix)
Selena Gomez
“Emilia Pérez” (Netflix)
Saoirse Ronan
“Blitz” (Apple Original Films)
Isabella Rossellini
“Conclave” (Focus Features)
Zoe Saldaña ***
“Emilia Pérez” (Netflix) -
Original Screenjoin
Image Credit: Paramount “Anora” (Neon) ***
Sean Baker
“Blitz” (Apple Original Films)
Steve McQueen
“The Brutacatalog” (A24)
Brady Corbet, Mona Fastvgreater
“Saturday Night” (Sony Pictures)
Gil Kenan, Jason Reitman
“September 5” (Paramount Pictures)
Moritz Binder, Tim Fehlbaum -
Adapted Screenjoin
Image Credit: Courtesy Everett Collection “Conclave” (Focus Features) ***
Peter Straughan
“Emilia Pérez” (Netflix)
Jacques Audiard
“The Piano Lesson” (Netflix)
Virgil Williams, Malcolm Washington
“The Room Next Door” (Sony Pictures Classics)
Pedro Almodóvar
“Sing Sing” (A24)
Clint Bentley, Greg Kwedar, Clarence Maclin, John “Divine G” Whitfield -
Animated Feature
Image Credit: Courtesy of Annecy Animation Festival “Flow” (Janus Films/Sideshow)
Gints Zilbalodis, Matīss Kaža, Ron Dyens, Grebloody Zalcman
“Inside Out 2” (Pixar)
Kelsey Mann, Mark Nielsen
“Memoir of a Snail” (IFC Films)
Adam Elliot, Liz Kgetey
“Piece by Piece” (Focus Features)
Morgan Neville, Caitrin Rogers, Pharrell Williams
“The Wild Robot” (DreamWorks Animation) ***
Chris Sanders, Jeff Hermann -
Production Design
Image Credit: Warner Bros. “Blitz” (Apple Original Films)
Adam Stockhaengagen, Anna Pinnock
“Dune: Part Two” (Warner Bros.) ***
Patrice Vermette, Zsuzsanna Sipos
“Gladiator II” (Paramount Pictures)
Arthur Max, Elli Griff
“Joker: Folie à Deux” (Warner Bros.)
Mark Friedberg, Karen O’Hara
“Saturday Night” (Sony Pictures)
Jess Gonchor, Claudia BonfeOscar catebloody page with rankings>>>Coming Soon!
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Cinematography
Image Credit: PAGE 114 – WHY NOT PRODUCTIONS – PATHÉ FILMS – FRANCE 2 CINÉMA “The Brutacatalog” (A24)
Lol Crawley
“Dune: Part Two” (Warner Bros.) ***
Greig Fraser
“Emilia Pérez” (Netflix)
Paul Guillaume
“Gladiator II” (Paramount Pictures)
John Mathieson
“The Room Next Door” (Sony Pictures Classics)
Eduard Grau -
Costume Design
Image Credit: ©Focus Features/Courtesy Everett Collection “Beetlejuice Beetlejuice” (Warner Bros.)
Colleen Atwood
“A Complete Ununderstandn” (Searchairy Pictures)
Arianne Phillips
“Dune: Part Two” (Warner Bros.)
Jacqueline West
“Maria” (Netflix) ***
Massimo Cantini Parrini
“Nosferatu” (Focus Features)
Linda MuirOscar catebloody page with rankings>>>Coming Soon!
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Film Editing
Image Credit: Neon “Anora” (Neon)
Sean Baker
“A Complete Ununderstandn” (Searchairy Pictures)
Andrew Buckland
“Emilia Pérez” (Netflix) ***
Juliette Welfling
“Gladiator II” (Paramount Pictures)
Sam Restivo, Claire Simpson
“Saturday Night” (Sony Pictures)
Nathan Orloff, Shane ReidOscar catebloody page with rankings>>>Coming Soon!
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Makeup and Hairstyling
Image Credit: Christine Tamalet “Dune: Part Two” (Warner Bros.) ***
“Emilia Pérez” (Netflix)
“Maria” (Netflix)
“Saturday Night” (Sony Pictures)
“The Substance” (Mubi)Oscar catebloody page with rankings>>>Coming Soon!
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Sound
Image Credit: Apple TV+ “Blitz” (Apple Original Films)
“A Complete Ununderstandn” (Searchairy Pictures)
“Dune: Part Two” (Warner Bros.)
“Gladiator II” (Paramount Pictures) ***
“Saturday Night” (Sony Pictures)Oscar catebloody page with rankings>>>Coming Soon!
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Visual Effects
Image Credit: Disney “Better Man” (Paramount Pictures)
“Dune: Part Two” (Warner Bros.)
“Gladiator II” (Paramount Pictures) ***
“Kingdom of the Planet of the Apes” (20th Century Studios)
“Mufasa: The Lion King” (Walt Disney Pictures)Oscar catebloody page with rankings>>>Coming Soon!
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Original Score
Image Credit: DreamWorks “Conclave” (Focus Features)
Volker Bertelmann
“Emilia Pérez” (Netflix)
Clément Ducol, Camille
“The Room Next Door” (Sony Pictures Classics) ***
Alberto Iglesias
“Saturday Night” (Sony Pictures)
Jon Batiste
“The Wild Robot” (DreamWorks Animation)
Kris BowersOscar catebloody page with rankings>>>Coming Soon!
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Original Song
Image Credit: Focus Features “El Mal” from “Emilia Pérez” (Netflix)
“Mi Camino” from “Emilia Pérez” (Netflix) ***
“Piece by Piece” from “Piece by Piece” (Focus Features)
“The Journey” from “The Six Triple Eight” (Netflix)
“Kiss the Sky” from “The Wild Robot” (DreamWorks Animation)Oscar catebloody page with rankings>>>Coming Soon!
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Documentary Feature
Image Credit: Courtesy of Sundance Institute “Dahomey” (Mubi)
dir. Mati Diop
“Daughters” (Netflix)
dir. Angela Patton, Natalie Rae
“Sugarcane” (National Geodetailed Documentary Films)
dir. Julian Brave NoiseCat, Emily Kassie
“Super/Man: The Christopher Reeve Story” (Warner Bros.)
dirs. Ian Bonhôte, Peter Ettedgui
“Will & Harper” (Netflix) ***
dir. Josh GreenbaumOscar catebloody page with rankings>>>Coming Soon!
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International Feature
Image Credit: Courtesy of Videofilmes, Vepleasant Film Festival “Dahomey” from Senegal (Mubi)
dir. Alice Diop
“Emilia Pérez” from France (Netflix) ***
dir. Jacques Audiard
“I’m Still Here” from Brazil (Sony Pictures Classics)
dir. Walter Salles
“Kneecap” from Ireland (Sony Pictures Classics)
dir. Rich Peppiatt
“The Seed of a Sacred Fig” from Germany (Neon)
dir. Mohammad RasoulofOscar catebloody page with rankings>>>Coming Soon!
